Research

Dr Greg Mills*|

09 February 2010 02:41

India's African solution

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India's development example shows the value of better policy choices.

This article first appeared in the Sunday Tribune and is republished with the permission of www.thebrenthurstfoundation.org


INDIA - I never imagined that I would find myself cross-legged among a group of Indian women farmers, the so-called poorest of the poor, in a country besotted with categorisation, learning about how financial access had transformed their lives. It's not as if banking is new to India, however. After all, these are the people who gave the world the mathematical "zero".

In My Early Life, Winston Churchill acknowledges the role that bankers played in the India of the Raj: "Native bankers... found them most agreeable; very fat, very urbane, quite honest, and mercilessly rapacious."

After years of hibernation, these "native bankers" and entrepreneurs have again been able to put their considerable skills to use.

In The World is Flat, Pulitzer Prize-winning author Tom Friedman argues how increasingly affordable telecommunications are erasing obstacles to international competition, "flattening" the world for those adaptable and skilled countries and entrepreneurs.

Friedman's book owes its title to a meeting he had with Nandan Nilekani, co-founder of India's second-largest IT company, Infosys. Nilekani, who by last year had taken a government job to roll out a national ID card, said countries like India could now compete for the global knowledge industry as never before, since the world had been levelled by the internet and market forces.

India is at once dynamic and chaotic, and quite inspirational. It shows what can be achieved if people are given half a chance by government.

Until the early 1990s India's economic development was stunted by its isolation from the world economy, and by the inefficiency of its government systems - the so-called "Licence Raj" - which sought to control the economy.

The reforms of the early 1990s, initiated by then Prime Minister PV Narasimha Rao, Finance Minister P Chidambaram, (now prime minister) Dr Manmohan Singh, and Dr Montek Singh, were based on the (partial) withdrawal of the government from interfering in the economy. The rupee was (partially) floated, state subsidies were reduced, and the economy was opened up to foreign investment, attracted by the large pool of people, talent and low incomes.

The overall results of India's liberalisation have been spectacular. More than 6% annual average (real) GDP growth since 1991 has bumped about 100m people from poverty into the middle classes.

India has moved on light years in little more than a decade. You could have a choice of cars in India in the 1980s: a white or black Hindustan Ambassador, based on a 1950s Morris Oxford. India has been continuously producing Enfield "Bullet" motorcycles, a 1931 single-cylinder design, in its Chennai factory since 1955; while Leyland's buses and trucks, once the pride of Harold Wilson's nationalised car industry, are also still in production.

Fifteen years ago, travel in India was courtesy of government services. Where Air India inefficiently dominated the skies, today the struggling national carrier has stiff competition from private airlines.

Or as Prakesh Rao, the head of the Electronics Industry Association of India, puts it: "The best thing that the government did was to get out of business. And the best example of this is in the IT sector."

India's IT industry grew from $100m in revenue in 1992 to more than $40bn in 2007. Infosys' revenue grew from $1.5m in 1992 to more than $4bn in 2008, with stock options creating more than 2 000 US dollar millionaires.

Bangalore is the epicentre of this flat world. Its software industry accounted for 98% of Karnataka state's $13bn in exports in 2007. About 1 400 hi-tech firms, as well as almost every major multinational, operate in the city. Bangalore has enjoyed economic growth averaging more than 10%, making it India's fastest-growing metropolis, home to more than 10 000 US dollar millionaires.

Bangalore's hi-tech advantages stem from its moderate climate and the long-term investment made by the government in related industries over the past five decades. The presence of government-funded space, aeronautics, machine tool and electronics firms spawned a legion of sub-contractors and necessary skills. This has leap-frogged into other sectors, notably bio-technology. Nearly half of India's 265 biotech companies have headquarters in the province.

India's ability to take up opportunities presented by globalisation and domestic liberalisation were related to its skills base. Despite high levels of illiteracy (nearly 40 percent, or 300m people), its skills base is impressive. Today India produces 2.5m graduates and 350 000 engineers each year. Its graduate pool is 1.5 times that of China's, and India produces more than five times as many engineers as the US.

The pace at which Indians made best use of these new opportunities relates also to the inducements. Whatever the Indian educational systems' drawbacks, more than a billion people striving to make a living and get ahead provides a certain competitive element.

For example, 400 000 applicants sit the preliminary Indian civil service exams each year, of which 8 000 to 10 000 are selected for the main exam comprising eight papers. Of these, about one-quarter are called for interviews for 900 posts. Only 32 officers are taken annually, for example, into the prestigious Indian foreign service.

Competition has been heightened by the slow dismantling of the caste system. "Reservation" of educational opportunities for so-called lower castes has pushed up the grade requirements for others. No student can now be guaranteed of a place in the sciences without a score of more than 90 percent.

But hi-tech is just part of the story.

Two hours west of Hyderabad, in the village of Konapur, 300 (of 366 families) judged to be poor or poorest of the poor are part of self-help groups. Numbering about teb women each, instigated by the UN in the 1960s, since 2000 these groups are part of the government's Self-Empowerment Rural Poverty Programme (SERP). Better training, voluntary enforced savings and access to banking finance have transformed lives.

The government can only do so much, and where it cannot help it is learning to leave it to the private sector to provide the technology to reduce corruption, extend health care, and improve transparency and competition.

In addition, in the past three years SERP has been integrated with the Community Managed Sustainable Agriculture scheme, an "organic revolution" focusing on the small-scale farmer using local rather than imported inputs.

Before SERP, farmers would have to borrow from lenders at exorbitant interest rates, sometimes 100 percent. Now they have scheduled repayment schemes at 12 percent interest, on which there is zero default. The women themselves keep the books, and plan to lease more land and diversify their sources of income.

Much remains to be done in India, but the results of the transition from its paltry growth rate before its liberal reforms of the early 1990s are impressive. India is now the fourth-largest economy in the world.

Its reforms encouraged entrepreneurship, the lifeblood of every economy. And the outlook of its entrepreneurs has put it in a better position to benefit from trade with the richer world outside.

For Africans and others, India's development example shows the value of better policy choices.

*Dr Greg Mills is heads the Brenthurst Foundation and is currently doing research in India.

COMMENTS

 
 responses to this article

please send this to the ANCYL
and the YCL. and the SACP & COSATU. seriously.

by meetjoeblack on February 09 2010, 03:28
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Blinded by GREED
It's unfortunate that the current government officials are still in the mode of accumulating personal [state] assets. They are so blinded by their greed that they fail to note that if the economy increases ten fold in size they stand to make a . .more

by denzil on February 09 2010, 04:43
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ANC Pay Attention
Will our ANc brothers leave their parties and lavish lifestyles for a bit and pay attention to whats happening in India, China, Brazil - We are falling way behind our competition. India does not always blame British colonisation, like the Africans. . .more

by BobHopes on February 09 2010, 05:14
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Problem is.....to replicate the Indian story in SA requires....
Integrity..hmmmm. Hard work. hmmmmm. Values....hmmmmm. Intelligent approaches....hmmmm. Acceptance of responsibility....hmmmm. Respect for others..hmmmm Anyone want to add to the list ?

by Dave on February 09 2010, 05:19
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The posters above..........
are making the assumption that someone in the ANC is actually running this country. I look around and see a leaderless, rudderless, directionless, planless country drifting nowhere.

by Cynic on February 09 2010, 05:35
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@ Et Al
Come on guys.....2 reasons why this is not likely to happen to SA in the immediate or short term future. Our apartheid legacy which is still used as a crutch to paerdon current government inefficiencies and EDUCATION, EDUCATION, EDUCATION!!! The . .more

by Kramer on February 09 2010, 05:40
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Liar
350 000 engineers per year, and only 32 officers are taken per year. How is that possible.

by Dave on February 09 2010, 06:15
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GO FLY A KITE!!!
My Greatgrandfather came from India penniless and indentured. My Grandparents were community educated and my parents bonded their home to give my siblings and I the best education academically and socially they could afford.My father imparted some . .more

by Trader666 on February 09 2010, 06:33
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Silence from the ANC is deafening
The silence from the ANC is deafening. Their solutions to unemployment are either ludicrous or non-existant or so antiquated that they are doomed to fail, copied from Cuba and Zimbabwe and pre-liberation Russia. ANC must either hire some qualified . .more

by Citizen Cane on February 09 2010, 06:45
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more @dave
Honesty......mmm.
Humility...........mmmm

by mjs on February 09 2010, 06:45
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Indian cricket
How the hell do they make Hashim Amla man of the match?
That honour (CLEARLY) should go to Dale Steyn!
Was the abjudicator smoking his socks at the time?
This is a clear case of racism alive and well in India.

by Rob on February 09 2010, 08:26
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@Rob
Hey ar$ewipe get over yourself ,Amla has been on the field longer than any other player???? He made 253*, go figure and leave the racism C*** in your bedroom or F off from this website

by Bo on February 09 2010, 09:52
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@Dave
@Dave: i am in India.. The 35 officers and 350000 engineers is correct. the 35 officers are in Indian Foreign Service..The fellas who man Indias Embassies internationally.
Unlike South Africa where a Director Genral is an appointee.. In India . .more

by Navtej S on February 09 2010, 13:30
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u idiot
There's billions versus our millions there so the output of people is greater.

by @Dave on February 10 2010, 06:01
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you are all silly white people
to the ones always going on about ANC and COS... they would have us believe that 90% of the private sector is not run by whites. In laymans terms for the daft white blokes, if a tender is awarded to an 74.6% white company such as the gautrain . .more

by @meetjoeblack and the rest on February 10 2010, 07:17
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